The aim of the MOSIPS Project (Modeling and Simulation of the Impact of Public Policies on SMEs) is to develop a user-friendly policy simulation system allowing forecasting and visualization of the socio-economic potential impact of public policies.
The simulation system will allow policy makers to make experiments with different socio-economic designs, with the participation of citizens and potentially impacted stakeholders, before the settlement of a public policy.
The combination of suitable data, models, artificial intelligence and interactive tools will deliver a policy wind tunnel.
1. General Information
2. Current Situation
3. Future Needs
4. MOSIPS output
2. Current Situation
Currently three are the mainstream approaches to the simulation of the impact of public interventions:
- Expert judgment-based analysis
- Fully deterministic computable econometric models
- Multiagent simulators
Due to the big complexity of the simulation models involved, the lack of reliable data and the poor theoretic computational models of human behaviours available, the current solutions does not fully satisfy the prediction needs of all the stakeholders.
3. Future Needs
MOSIPS endeavours to contribute to the line of research of the Multiagent simulators encouraging an integral approach through the combination of all the three current technological trends.
It foresees the use of econometrics and applied psychology to define individual actors in the model (agents) and microeconomics and applied social sciences to devise relations and interaction rules between themselves.
Furthermore it will allow a direct involvement of different stakeholders in the simulation process, though including in it inputs that are hardly codifiable in a MAS.
4. MOSIPS output
MOSIPS will deliver a multi-agent based simulator for policy impact assessment and validation with features that advance the state-of-the-art in the field:
- It will be specifically dedicated to public policies evaluation, flexibly adaptable to particular needs of given policy domains.
- It will form a compound of self-contained and reusable web components that will be available for further reuse and exploitation.
- It will allow a direct involvement of different stakeholders in the simulation process.
- It will use for its simulation public data resources.
- It will rely on Open Data Models in order to ensure the reusability of results of simulation and continuous improvement of models and practices.
- It will provide a Visualization Interactive Module allowing a highly intuitive and usable graphical illustration of simulation results facilitating interpretation, learning and drawing conclusions as well as supporting real-time interactions.
